Estonia's Security-Minded Coalition Claims Lead in Vote Overshadowed by Russia

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Estonia's security-minded center-left governing coalition took the lead in Sunday elections, held amid concerns over a militarily resurgent Russia, while the pro-Kremlin opposition lost ground, partial official results showed.

The ruling coalition was leading in 51 of the 101 parliamentary seats with over half of the votes counted.

The opposition pro-Kremlin Center party looked set to lose ground and was ahead in just 16 seats, down from 26 in the outgoing parliament.

Moscow's annexation of Crimea last year and its meddling in eastern Ukraine have galvanized the European Union, including eurozone member Estonia where a quarter of the 1.3 million population are ethnic Russian.

Military maneuvers by Moscow on Estonia's border just days ahead of the vote further stoked deep concerns in Europe that the Kremlin could attempt to destabilize countries that were in its orbit during Soviet times.

NATO is countering the moves by boosting defenses on Europe's eastern flank with a spearhead force of 5,000 troops and command centers in six formerly communist members of the alliance, including one in Estonia.

"If they (the Russians) come in here, Estonia can't do anything... I'm not sure NATO will help us out," Pyotr Sirotkin, a 25-year-old student at Tallinn University, told Agence France-Presse as he cast his ballot in the capital.

"Let's hope that it will not go that far. But the situation between the USA and Russia will change totally if the USA comes here and defends us from Russia."

Fresh-faced Prime Minister Taavi Roivas, at 35 the EU's youngest head of government, was widely expected to hold onto power.

He has joined a chorus of Baltic leaders demanding more NATO troops, hardware and air patrols to counter Moscow's heightened military moves.

Analysts expect Roivas' centrist Reform party to renew its coalition with the Social Democrats, buttressed in the 101-seat parliament by a smaller conservative party.

Earlier opinion polls had shown Center, backed mainly by ethnic Russians, narrowly ahead, but without obvious coalition partners it would be unlikely to govern in any case. 

Center leader Edgar Savisaar, 64, lost the trust of many Estonians last year when he backed Russia's annexation of Crimea from Ukraine.

A former Communist Party member, the current Tallinn mayor was Estonia's first premier after independence from the Soviet Union in 1991.

- 'Climate change' -

For Roivas, "the current security situation will stay with us for a long period of time."

"This is not just bad weather, this is climate change." Roivas has said about Europe's worst standoff with Russia since the Cold War.

But some voters were less concerned about the threat posed by Moscow and more focused on bread-and-butter issues.

Hot election topics included proposals to triple the monthly minimum wage to 1,000 euros ($1,131) and lower social security premiums among other measures.

"I believe there are much more important things than worrying about Russia," 18-year-old student Eve Tonisson told AFP as she voted in Viimsi, a newly affluent town just north of Tallinn attracting professionals from the capital.

"Many young people are moving abroad because of higher wages there.... I personally don't think I'm going to stay in Estonia," she said, reflecting a troubling demographic trend in the tiny nation as Estonians leave to search for a better life.

Long a paragon of fiscal responsibility in the EU, which it joined in 2004, Estonia posted 1.8 percent economic growth in 2014, with 2.5 percent expansion expected this year. Joblessness hovered around seven percent last year. 

Deep reforms and years of painful austerity paved the way to Estonia's 2011 eurozone entry and some here believe their comparatively poor country should not pump out more money to save indebted Greece.

"Greece should be able to handle things themselves now," said Martin Kallikivi, a 29-year-old media employee from Viimsi.

However, like many Estonians, he understands the social toll that austerity can take and the fact that it will be felt for generations.

"For many years government has not been giving enough support for families with children and Estonia's population is decreasing because of that," Kallikivi said.

Total turnout tallied at 63.7 percent. Full results were expected around 2200 GMT Sunday.